🎲 Monte Carlo simulator

Run 10,000 World Cup 2026 Simulations

See who\u2019s most likely to win \u2014 with math, not vibes. We simulate the full 48-team tournament using ELO or FIFA ranking, thousands of times, and show each team\u2019s probability of reaching every round.

Ranking system

World Football Elo Ratings

Number of simulations

~3s

📊

Pick your settings and hit Run Simulation to see predicted probabilities for every team.